stefdasca's blog

By stefdasca, history, 2 years ago, In English

Have you ever wanted to know how will your CF rating look like in the future, without having to be stressed about the potential shortcomings which may come in future contests?

Have you ever wanted to be able to say that you will get the rating of your dreams soon?

If the answer for both of these questions is Yes, then you came to the right place.

During the last few months, I have used some technical analysis to predict how will some of the people from my Discord server and I have gotten quite consistent results, so I think that my strat is working.

I am not going to enter in details on how do I actually do this, because it requires quite some experience to learn all the details, but as people say, an image is worth 1000 words, so here are some few examples.

First example is ScarletS

Here is how his rating looked like in November, before he had a bad contest

Here I told him that he will fall a bit and the chance for him to rise again is high, and that's what happened

As you can see, a great example of a trendline which held. Hopefully he will keep his uptrend and reach new highs :)

The second example is lookcook

In early December, I told him that he has to be careful at the next contests otherwise bad things can happen

Sadly for him, the rising wedge is starting to play out and he fell to blue

I wish him to make this bearish pattern fail and reach new highs as well, since after all, this is just technical analysis.

Another example is rotavirus

In August, I saw this potential head and shoulders pattern in his chart, which would lead to a downfall.

Sadly for him, this played out too and he fell quite a bit, down to 2100, but hopefully he will rise again as well

However, this doesn't always work, as you can see in Java's graph

I predicted a move up to 2050, based on the previous range(1730-1880) but it didn't work out

Aftermath

I wish him good luck in actually reaching that target.

If you want to know how will your(or your friends') CF rating will look like, post the handle in the comments or an image of the rating graph and I will come with a reply as soon as possible.

However, this system only works for users with at least 20 contests taken and whose ratings are below 2600(from 2600 on, large swings happen and I can't really consider them as relevant in those persons' future skills)

Good luck and have nice holidays and a wonderful 2021!

 
 
 
 
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2 years ago, # |
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Auto comment: topic has been updated by stefdasca (previous revision, new revision, compare).

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    rahulsingh28082000 Please, take a look at my handle whenever you got time...

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      2 years ago, # ^ |
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      You broke 1200 area, which was a resistance in your rating growth and you got nicely to 1400 area. Based on your future performances, you can go up a bit more for now, but I am not too sure about targets(1300 should hold, though)

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Could you predict my rating too? Thanks in advance !!

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    Hi, can you predict my rating- Ayush_Patil. Thanks!

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      2 years ago, # ^ |
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      i think a small pullback will come but the bigger trend is to the upside

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Hey! Please predict these when you have time:

socho

smjleo

Thanks!

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    200 point range broken, I would bet on a new range around 2250-2400 area before hopefully a new break to the upside

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    1900 will likely hold, but again he has to be careful at the potential trendline break.

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Hi, can you predict mine- kumaraditya1999. Thanks !!!

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    This trendline is forming quite nicely, I expect a slow and steady rise in the near future.

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      2 years ago, # ^ |
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      Thanks alot for taking out your time, really needed to hear something like this <3

      PS: Can I make some changes so as to have fast and steady rise instead of slow and steady :)

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Please predict mine when you get time, thanks in advance.

aryan12

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    A nice and sustained uptrend, not sure about short term but this should continue up to at least 2100 for now.

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blue :pensive: orz stef stock trading god

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Lmao I forgot about the usaco rating stonks. Ghost orz.

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Please predict for us.

akshitm16

Kal-El

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Pullback likely to 1500 area

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    Solid bottom 1480 area, however each move up is being rejected, hope this will change in the future — it can also evolve in a range

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Can you predict axe98

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    A little pullback after a up move, I think this is just a bull flag and the next up move will lead to 1700 area

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I would be grateful if you could predict mine: kira201

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    One test up and one test down both failed, you should eventually go up given enough effort, though.

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weakestOsuPlayer_244

Please have a look if you get time. Thanks!

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Higher lows on your graph but still a resistance at 1480-1500 area.

    Until you break 1500, you will keep zig-zagging around in this range.

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ansh

Please predict mine if you can, thanks!!

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    I expect a downfall in the short term to 1400 area(worst case 1370), because of 350 point move up without a single pullback and then you will keep going up

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      2 years ago, # ^ |
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      Thanks a ton!! I'll try to avoid that downfall in the next 5-10 contests, if I am successful in doing it, I'll comment on this thread :)

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        2 years ago, # ^ |
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        Hope you'll break my prediction, after all I want everyone to get better and have nice achievements :)

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Can you please predict mine jack07 ?

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Quite a big range, higher highs and a solid bottom, I think you should go up soon

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I said this before, when you first showed it on Discord, and I'll say it again, this is really cool! Let's hope I can maintain it through the Goodbye/Hello onslaught.

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Please predict when you have time. rainboy Brok3nDreams

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    I am not predicting people who are not taking rounds in the usual manner.

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    Your graph is quite confusing, higher highs and lower lows, looks like the fair rating of yours is in 1300-1400 area

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Hi, please predict mine whenever you are free. Thanks in advance!

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    A short downfall after a big up move, and your graph formed a nice formation, I expect further upside in the short term

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kushb30

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    You should bounce soon(first target would be 1900 again) but be careful at a potential lower low...

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Mind predicting me? Been trying to hit expert for twp months now, wanna see how long I have to wait. :D

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    not enough contests for a proper analysis, but the graph looks promising for a future rise

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      2 years ago, # ^ |
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      Haha Thank you very much! Gives me motivation. :D

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      Future rise came! Predictions were true even just by looking at the graph! :)

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My friend saarang is quite anxious to know when he will make the first major breakthough of peak 1730 can you do some TA analysis to find it out, thanks a lot

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    false information, I'm not anxious to have stef tell me I'm hardstuck in cyan :p

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Nice ascending triangle and trendline, the breakout will come soon :)

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ocortez

Please predict mine if you have time. Thanks.

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    either 1400+ soon or potential 1200-1400 range before 1400+

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Sounds really cool! Please predict mine when you have time.

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Hard to predict this given your big hiatus, but if that contest happened close enough to the past ones, I would have said that a pullback was coming before new highs.

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procodgok Let's See how much relatable your predictions are to my Expectations.

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    You seem to have broken slightly below the trendline, but I doubt this is going to continue, because of the tight range and a move up is slightly more likely.

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Would be interesting to know mine if you're free haha. Since I have a lot of swings up and down.

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Keeping 1400 is important for this W formation to work, which should lead you to 1600+

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Please predict me vaibhav1997

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Unfortunately, not the most optimistic graph out there. Going over 1200 is a must if you want to get back to that previous range, or otherwise I can see a test of bottom(1000 area)

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Predict mine, please :) scameeer

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Classical triangle, it can go both ways but hopefully up :)

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Please predict mine whenever you're free Makise_Kurisu

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    I think a short term move up will come, then it depends on whether you can break 1700 or not(1500-1700 range also likely for now)

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Dear Astrologer kindly check my future. Handle: Freaksus

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Hey, can you predict mine- udit5656 . Thanks in advance.

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    I expect a small fall to come soon when that wedge breaks, unfortunately :)

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Hi, Could you please have a look at my profile and predict akash19jain

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    It's likely that the range in the box will stay in place, the break over 1400 doesn't look too promising, but if that breaks, then 1600 should come

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Try to predict ruban :)

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    Forever stuck in this legendary range, 10 years in and the range still stands :)

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      I guess it's the same for me :( Hence the handle which I am planning to change this year coz my friends find it depressing xD

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Wow. This is interesting. If you can, please predict mine too.

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Hey predict this when you have time

AmarShukla

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hey! please predict this bluespex when you have time.

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    W formation, you can go to CM in the next few months

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Can you please predict mine?

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Unfortunately, not. I don't think you have taken 20 contests seriously, so I can't do anything about it.

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Hey, can you please predict mine : HimanshuG

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Amazing work! Please predict mine whenever you have time. cuber_coder

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Pullback in short term, long term uptrend however

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can i do option hedging on my graph. XD. Please let me know Mr.rating maker.

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I love predictions, please predict for me H4ckOm

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Stable rating range, I do expect a small move up

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Please predict mine as well.

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Nice range over there, a break above the range would lead to 2000+ IMO

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Can you please predict for me? conquered

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Pullback in short term, long term uptrend however

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Tell me, am I destined to remain green/cyan forever?

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seems fun, please predict mine too merlin_

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    I think you will stay around this area for a while

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can you predict mine please whiskeyy (will i remain grey forever ooo :/)

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    Nice uptrend over there, I think you can climb a bit more for now before maybe a little move down comes

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This seems really cool.

Please predict mine when you get the time. windreaper

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TheScrasse
My graph is almost palindrome in the last 11 contests, I hope I won't lose yellow :/

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Could you please predict mine as well — SlavicG

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Think you can fall a bit in short term because of that trendline break

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Interesting! I have been stuck at specialist for quite a while now and a prediction would be great. shikher25
Thanks in advance.

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    I think the 1400-1530 range will continue for a while, however if you go up, expect 1650 to come

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Do me when you have time please :D.

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Ranging around here, however if you break this range, you will get 2200+

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    M formation, 1200+ is necessary or otherwise back to gray range

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People in comment sections be like:

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Can u predict :- sumitdahiya

Thanks!!!

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    seems like the guy is stuck in 1400-1600 range, a break will lead to 1750 area IMO

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please predict mine when you get time, thnx in advance:)

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Please predict adhvana future rating

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    seems like you are at bottom of 1600-1900 range, you should go up now

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vineet16 Thanks :p

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    tight 1400-1600 range, I think a breakout to 1700 is likely

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Hey, could you take a look at mine? Also, have you thought about adding parameters like the quantity of problems the user solves besides the official rounds, the virtual contests given, the quality of problems solved daily, et cetera. Seems like a nice regression problem!

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    You should fall a bit to check if you broke the trendline but if you keep yourself up, you can get CM soon.

    Also, I am only using the chart and not other parameters, after all it's just a prediction

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Delete this

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What will be my max. rating in a month from now and how long before I reach CM. This is my handle sergei_popov

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    I dont predict things over short amount of time, also CM seems far away for now, judging from your graph(1450-1700 range, it can lead to 1900 once that is broken)

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You should focus on your own rating first instead of predicting for others. I saw your graph and noticed your fall. Rating depends on that person only and nobody else can predict it for them, so delete this blog too.

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    I am no longer doing CP, I achieved everything I needed to achieve in CP, have a nice day :)

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Perry_Prasad_Platypus plz check mine.

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Looks like a pullback will come, and then you get another big move up once you are done

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please predict mine

nayakashutosh9

Thanks:)

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    Keeping 1400 is essential for going up for the time being, otherwise 1200 can come

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hi, can you predict mine?)

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    tight 1400-1600 range, I think a breakout to 1700 is likely

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2 years ago, # |
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Is there any API which you can share so that we can check ourself?

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    I am drawing the charts manually

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      Is your "Technical Analysis" some tool or it's just your personal experience?

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        my experience, which as you can see, worked for more people in the past

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          2 years ago, # ^ |
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          stefdasca Why don't u try predicting mine?

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            2 years ago, # ^ |
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            Because you haven't asked

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              Now I did!!!

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                Trend line broken, but you have a potential bottom here

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                  2 years ago, # ^ |
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                  Thanks for your feedback, I will try to disprove "but you have a potential bottom here"

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                  2 years ago, # ^ |
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                  but that's a positive message, it means that you should go up

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                  2 years ago, # ^ |
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                  Yes I know :P. But to be honest, you are doing a great job with giving your time and helping codeforces community. It doesn't matter if 10% of ur predictions are wrong what matter is you are helping people to understand there rating plot and maybe positively motivating them for improvements in future.

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              are you kgb mafia gang leader working for putin ?

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You seem to have a long queue :P, if possible can you please predict mine too? Lelouch.Lamperouge

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Spoiler

    You are going slowly up, however I think that your rating will fall a bit in the short term

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M45UDrana

Please predict mine if you can, thanks!!

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Spoiler

    A higher high is necessary, otherwise you will go back to green

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2 years ago, # |
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I also want to join your discord server. Can you post some link to join?

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I would very much like it, if you could predict mine too :D

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Spoiler

    Tight range, I expect 1400 to be broken but it's not going to be that easy, judging from the past

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https://imgur.com/a/eYjvDBf Please predict this.

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Hi, can you predict mine- sid_rasa. Thanks !!!

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This seems fun xD. Please predict mine Loll

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Your rating seems to have converged in 1250-1300 area, I think you will visit that once more before you will go up

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Hey, Can you predict for pranay_garg
Thanks.

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    IMO, holding 1600 is a must before going more up, or otherwise I can see 1500 area coming

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2 years ago, # |
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Could you predict my rating? Thanks in advance.
alwyn

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_-pratik_shukla-_ plis...thanks in advance :)

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Hi, can you predict Anubhabghosh
Thanks in advance.

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Spoiler

    Nice breakout from the range, however I expect 1600 before 1800

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2 years ago, # |
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Hi,Please predict mine nagasaisujan160998

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    tight 1400-1600 range, several breakout attempts seem to have failed, so I expect the range to continue

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worse and 1999mukulrai please.

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LethalPuppy and FatKid. I'd appreciate it if you could predict these! Thanks for all the effort you're putting into this!

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    LethalPuppy I think you will stay in green rating range for a while(1200-1399)

    Spoiler

    Pullback before more uptrend IMO

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predict mine whenever you get time. Shailabh10989

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    I think you will keep ranging in 1000-1200 area for now

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I just began with CP past few months. I had pretty bad past 4 contests.Can you predict?

Elegy_No_Programmer

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    I think you will keep ranging in 1200-1399 area for now, don't worry about the bad contests, they happen to everyone

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2 years ago, # |
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Why not earn billions at stock markets instead of predicting lame coders ratings?

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    I am earning money with this kind of thing, don't worry :)

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Why don't you suck my balls instead of being expert stuck for 10 years having no life and giving people suggestion. Trying to be smartass while you can't escape expert in 10 years. You are worse than dogshit

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      2 years ago, # ^ |
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      CP_Sucks If he is dogshit because he can't escape expert, then what are you, who cannot escape specialist with even more number of contests? Before making rude comments on others, learn to improve yourself.

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Predict my when you get time stef senpai. (I know I will be stuck in green forever). Aryan-Raina

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Hey..! Please predict mine when you have time.

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    I think you will retest 1600 and if that fails, you get back to 1400, otherwise I think you will stay around 1600

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Predict mine, when you have time. Thanks!

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Spoiler

    Descending triangle, it is quite likely that you may stay down for now

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Hello stefdasca, will you predict mine? Thanks!

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    You broke gray range, I expect you to see 1200 again before you move more to the upside, where you will stop at 1400 for now

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Can you predict mine?

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    I think you will stay around 1300-1500 range for now

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just 2 hrs since this blog appeared, and I thought I would ask stefdasca to predict mine graph too but that's not probable since it looks like many people want to know the same and the comments section will get saturated ...(I am late again)

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Lokeo

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Think he should go master again soon, 2200 looks like a good target

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      12 months ago, # ^ |
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      Took me one year to go master again :D

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I would love to know mine. eclipse17

sorry i don't know how to upload pic

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Can you please predict mine- siddhant1

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Hey stefdasca please predict mine whenever you get time . Thanks :)

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    I think you can keep going up for now, but expect a downfall just before 1500

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please try to predict mine too. will be a great help. Thanks in Advance.

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    A nice rising graph over there, I think you can touch 1250 but not keep it for now

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Predict mine when you have time. Thanks in advance. please (I am Too depressed, I have done so Efforts , Still Not any Output),

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    tight 1100-1200 range, if you manage to break over it then you should go to 1300.

    Keep it going

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This seems fun! Please predict mine if you can.

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Interesting! predict mine too plz.

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Spoiler

    Bounce coming IMO, I think you will go 2300+ this time

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Got excited after reading comments. Please predict mine

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Think you will stay a bit more in 1550-1650 range before going up

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Please predict for Farhan132.

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Spoiler

    Looks like a wedge, he has to get 2200+ or otherwise back to CM

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      2 years ago, # ^ |
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      I hope he will try to get 2200+ soon.

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May you please predict me? Olympia

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This looks interesting !! If you can, please predict mine too.

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    keeping 1900 leads to 2200 area, otherwise back to 1900 area

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please predict mine too:)

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    I think you will fall once more to blue before you keep going up

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For Shagoto please! Thank you!

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    I think you bottomed at 900 area for now, I expect a move up to 1100 to begin with

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Can you predict mine ?

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Break above 2450 is necessary or otherwise it starts to look like (at least) a short term top

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Dear Mr. Fortuneteller can you show me my fate please?

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    I think you will fall a bit to 1200 area and then rise again

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Can you predict mine?

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    I think you will be ranging around this area(1600-1750)

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what about mine dude?

Predict when you have time please.

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Bet I'll remain oscillating between newbie and pupil next year too

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    You will stay few more contests in the 1200-1400 range then you will go up

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Please predict mine, fortune teller san

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    higher lows, however still in 1150-1300 range for the time being

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Predict Lightbender please

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My friends got their future rating predicted and I'd like to know mine too stefosity :thonk:

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Hi! If you have time, please predict mine too. Thanks!

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    I think you will fall a bit and then rise to cyan

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2 years ago, # |
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hey stefdasca can you predict mine??

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2 years ago, # |
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please predict mine too:)

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Predict my please... Also one thing might help: I am going to have a lot of time for cp in around 14 months. Till then its just a side hobby

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Can you predict my rating please.

Handle: Nightmare05

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Nice breakout from 1900-2050 range, I think you will stay around orange until another big move comes

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stefdasca OTZ, can you please predict my rating

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    I think 2100+ is likely(a measured move from 1750-1950 range)

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Please predict mine. Have been practicing questions above 1500 consistently for a while now, but still no change in my rating.

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Can you pls predict mine too ty

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Your rating graph is too weird for me, I am getting inconsistent views on it

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please predict for me : siddhant_k when you get time <3

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Mine too plz

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Spoiler

    Not the most optimistic graph unfortunately...

    Hopefully you can stop the downfall at 1200 area and then go up again

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This is really fun! Nice job!

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2 years ago, # |
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Try me. How soon will I reach grey? :D adam_rajsky

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2 years ago, # |
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Hi can you please predict my rating?

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2 years ago, # |
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hello you, please predict for me, thanks ! :))

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Breakout, then retracement, then another breakout.

    I expect 1400 shortly

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2 years ago, # |
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Please predict mine. Thanks.

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Take a look at my handle

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    I think you will go to 900+ area soon, otherwise you will stay in this range

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predict me pls

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    1900+ ASAP is necessary, otherwise you will go back to 1700-1800 range

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Predict Mine As Well... Thank You..

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Spoiler

    If 1700 doesn't hold, expect a 1600 area visit

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Could you please tell mine as well? and Could tell when I would touch CM?..

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    either 1500 again or 1700+ for now.

    CM is quite far away, I dont know when you can get it based on the current graph

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can u plz check mine

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    1100 area looks hard to pass, but a move over 1120 will lead to 1200+.

    Solid bottom at 1000 area, though, at least for now

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2 years ago, # |
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Hey! Please Predict mine whene you have time : shivam2001

Thanks!

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Great work!

Would be really grateful if you could predict my rating trend!

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Thanks!

    I think a sustained break above 1950 area is coming, probably close to master area(2100)

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2 years ago, # |
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Please predict mine nikhil_2001 when you got time.

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Higher lows, ranging for now, but I think a break above 1200 will come in the first months of 2021

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2 years ago, # |
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hey, please predict mine when you have time. thanks in advance !!

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    You will stay at 1500-1600 area for a while before you break new highs and stay expert

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Please have a look at mine. Thank you.

jethaji

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    2 years ago, # ^ |
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    Back at the clear bottom, I expect an up move coming

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2 years ago, # |
Rev. 2