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By Egor, 8 years ago, In English

So, what is the last team I want to preview. Do you have any guesses? So many variants... Well, you must have guessed it right — it is SPb NRU ITMO 1.

Let’s start with small facts about each of team members:

  • Mikhail won several trips to the next TCO through various side competitions (like photo competition) during TCO 2011

  • Niyaz tweeted in April: “Playing dice with Gennady. This is the only game in which he can possibly lose”

Well, I cheated — one fact for two teammates :)

So, 2 of its participants are world champions already. And the third one will probably be. Why everyone thinks they will be champions again. Only once this team was behind another World Finals team in 2013. They won 13th OpenCup with overwhelming advantage (150 points ahead of second place, just 20 points shy of perfect score), although team finished third in previous edition. 7 wins and 4 second places on stages, OpenCup onsite win, NEERC championship — and that’s all in just 10 months. Well, during last OpenCup they ousted a team that featured 2 TCO, 2 GCJ, 2 Hacker Cup and 3 World Finals wins total. So, does anyone else have a fighting chance?

Well, yes. They are humans after all (despite some rumors). And World Finals are known for tricky problem sets. Well, in 5 days we’ll see.

Line up:

Mikhail Kever — Codeforces rating 2530, TopCoder rating 2969, 2012 World Champion, TopCoder Open 2011 finalist, Google Code Jam 2013 finalist, Facebook Hacker Cup 2012 and 2013 finalist

Niyaz Nigmatullin — Codeforces rating 2523, TopCoder rating 2818, 2012 World Champion

Gennady Korotkevich — Codeforces rating 3088, TopCoder rating 3657, TopCoder Open 2013 semifinalist, Google Code Jam 2013 finalist, Facebook Hacker Cup 2013 finalist, 6 time Gold (2007-2012, 1st place in 2009-2011) and Silver (2006) medalist in IOI.

Gold chances? Well, 95%. There is always 5% chance for something really odd to happen

 
 
 
 
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8 years ago, # |
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although team finished third in previous edition.

Well, looking at the results for the previous edition, it finished second, not third :) (though it depends on how we define succession).

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    8 years ago, # ^ |
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    You linked results of 11th Open Cup, while previous one was 12th (and current 13th)

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      8 years ago, # ^ |
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      They participated in the 12th OpenCup in the current edition already (though not in all stages).

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        8 years ago, # ^ |
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        That's what I'm saying. I think I have to point out that "previous edition" refers to Open Cup season, not team

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          8 years ago, # ^ |
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          Oh, OK, then I misunderstood the phrase.

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Gennady Korotkevich: VK Cup 2012 Rank 3. :)

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Interesting fact: if Egor's estimates are true, then the expected number of gold medals that other 114 teams (not previewed in his blog) will win is 0.15.

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    8 years ago, # ^ |
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    They are quite obviously off — I made them on case by case basis :)

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    8 years ago, # ^ |
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    I think its not 0.15 its should be a more complicated algorithm. e.g. tow gold for four player: ABCD and A 90% B 80% then each of others have 0.1* 2/3 + 0.2 * 2/3 chance tomorrow I have a advanced math test. zzz

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My favorite team this year.

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TopCoder average rating 3148. Agitsune "only" 3061:)

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tourist is so handsome :).

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    8 years ago, # ^ |
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    If tourist was as handsome as good at programming then poor brad pitt.
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That's cheating, they have tourist on the team, they should be disqualified.

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A kind of poor introduction for tourist.

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If 95% are the gold chances, what would be the winning chances and the expected number of solved problems?

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50%(Moscow State University)+60%(Shanghai Jiao Tong University)+50%(SPbSU)+70%(University of Tokyo)+60%(Taiwan NU)+95%(SPb NRU ITMO)=385%...Only 15% for other teams...